WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	78		Excitement	7.1 [78]		MVP	Aliyah Boston (IND): +35.9%
Indiana Fever	83		Comeback	18.3 [5]		LVP	NaLyssa Smith (IND): -10.1%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sabrina Ionescu	0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.25,0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	23	48%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.05	0.15	-0.08	0.01	14	71%	0.26	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Kennedy Burke	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leonie Fiebich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.01	11	44%	0.04	1	-0.09	10	80%	0.02
Jonquel Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.08

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.36	0.36	0.17	0.20	0.01	12	69%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.01	14	47%	0.25	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.08	0.03	17	53%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.10	-0.03	8	55%	0.10	4	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	IND	WNBA	NYL	IND	WNBA
this game	15.1	14.7	14.8	98.7	101.2	100.5
season	14.6	14.7		105.1	102.8
opponent	14.5	15.2		106.8	95.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	14.1	15.1	14.0	17.5	15.1
IND	13.1	16.4	15.3	14.1	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	89%	8%	2.8%	0.0%	47.6%	66.7%	0.0%
IND	0%	93%	6%	1.5%	0.0%	51.6%	62.5%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	18	53%	3	50%	2	0%
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	0	0%	11	68%	3	83%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Leonie Fiebich	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	9	39%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	11	27%	0	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	63	48%	6	67%	2	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	11	64%	0	0%	1	100%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	13	35%	1	150%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	3	117%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	16	53%	1	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	62	52%	4	62%	1	100%