WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	93		Excitement	10.7 [5]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +55.5%
Los Angeles Sparks	98		Comeback	4.6 [23]		LVP	Rickea Jackson (LAS): -28.8%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.55	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55	0.26	0.31	0.01	23	64%	0.67	2	-0.11	9	100%	0.08
Jackie Young	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.51	0.12	0.37	-0.02	12	62%	0.54	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0.08	0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.08	-0.00	13	68%	0.19	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Kate Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kiah Stokes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Colson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24	-0.10	-0.16	-0.02	9	16%	-0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.13	0.35	0.01	10	62%	0.47	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.24,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.14	-0.02	20	51%	0.33	1	-0.04	15	67%	-0.16
Aari McDonald	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.03	-0.01	17	61%	0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	3	75%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Li Yueru	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rae Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	11	35%	-0.02	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Rickea Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.00	-0.27	0.01	17	39%	-0.25	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	LAS	WNBA	LVA	LAS	WNBA
this game	13.6	17.1	14.8	108.1	110.1	100.5
season	14.7	14.8		104.9	96.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		104.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.2	14.5	14.7	12.9	13.6
LAS	16.4	16.3	17.8	18.9	17.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	78%	15%	7.5%	0.0%	54.8%	70.0%	20.0%
LAS	0%	72%	17%	10.5%	0.0%	45.2%	36.7%	44.4%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	20	55%	2	50%	1	100%
Jackie Young	0	0%	6	42%	6	83%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	9	78%	2	50%	2	0%
Kate Martin	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	7	14%	0	0%	2	0%
Aces	0	0%	52	55%	10	70%	5	20%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	5	50%	4	62%	1	100%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	11	45%	5	40%	4	50%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	13	69%	4	25%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	1	100%
Li Yueru	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	10	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Rickea Jackson	0	0%	13	50%	1	0%	3	0%
Sparks	0	0%	62	45%	15	37%	9	44%