WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	82		Excitement	7.5 [60]		MVP	Shatori Walker-Kimbrough (WAS): +34.2%
Los Angeles Sparks	80		Comeback	24.3 [8]		LVP	Aaliyah Edwards (WAS): -9.5%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.35,0.35,0.34	0.15	0.19	0.00	10	68%	0.36	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.07
Stefanie Dolson	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.3,0.3	0.10	0.20	0.01	6	77%	0.32	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Julie Vanloo	0.15	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.08	0.04	10	75%	0.23	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.19	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jade Melbourne	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	5	33%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Emily Engstler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DiDi Richards	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaliyah Edwards	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.02	13	65%	0.36	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	6	50%	0.19	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.05	0.04	8	71%	0.11	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.04
Rae Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	12	53%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.06
Li Yueru	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rickea Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAS	WNBA	WAS	LAS	WNBA
this game	15.2	15.5	14.8	105.1	102.6	100.5
season	14.8	14.8		97.0	96.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		104.5	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.7	12.2	16.6	13.9	15.2
LAS	13.6	16.6	14.9	16.8	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	82%	16%	1.5%	0.0%	54.5%	63.6%	100.0%
LAS	5%	77%	18%	0.0%	83.3%	60.9%	36.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	7	71%	3	83%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	4	62%	1	100%	1	100%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	8	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	8	62%	1	100%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	12	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	3	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
DiDi Richards	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	55	55%	11	64%	1	100%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	10	60%	3	83%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	4	37%	2	75%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	1	150%	5	90%	2	0%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	2	50%	9	61%	1	0%	0	0%
Li Yueru	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Rickea Jackson	0	0%	9	67%	3	0%	0	0%
Sparks	3	83%	46	61%	11	36%	0	0%