WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	88		Excitement	8.7 [25]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +63.1%
Phoenix Mercury	82		Comeback	16.8 [4]		LVP	NaLyssa Smith (IND): -12.7%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0.63	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.36,0.63	0.14	0.47	-0.02	11	64%	0.66	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Temi Fagbenle	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	71%	0.19	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.11
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.11	0.00	0.08	-0.03	6	36%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Kristy Wallace	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Erica Wheeler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	60%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aliyah Boston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	9	71%	0.23	3	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01
Caitlin Clark	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,0.01	-0.09	0.07	-0.03	14	44%	0.12	6	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
NaLyssa Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	0.03	-0.15	0.00	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.18	4	25%	-0.03

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.3	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.01	13	67%	0.39	2	-0.09	10	80%	-0.03
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.01	2	83%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.03	14	53%	0.23	5	-0.17	8	87%	-0.05
Sug Sutton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liz Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	15	23%	0.06	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHO	WNBA	IND	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.4	14.5	14.8	104.8	100.0	100.5
season	14.7	14.8		102.8	101.2
opponent	14.9	14.5		104.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	15.4	14.5	13.9	14.4
PHO	14.5	16.2	15.5	12.2	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	76%	19%	4.8%	0.0%	55.2%	29.2%	66.7%
PHO	1%	75%	22%	1.5%	0.0%	48.0%	43.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	8	56%	1	0%	2	100%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	1	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	3	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	8	62%	1	150%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	11	45%	3	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	6	92%	3	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	48	55%	12	29%	3	67%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	9	56%	4	75%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	1	0%	8	62%	2	50%	1	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	12	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Liz Dixon	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	7	64%	1	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	11	23%	4	25%	0	0%
Mercury	1	0%	51	48%	15	43%	1	0%