WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	78		Excitement	8.4 [31]		MVP	Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (ATL): +16.7%
Connecticut Sun	74		Comeback	3.1 [33]		LVP	Tyasha Harris (CON): -9.4%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	5	69%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Allisha Gray	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	10	71%	0.32	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.04
Maya Caldwell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	4	87%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.01	5	73%	0.24	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Tina Charles	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	13	47%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nia Coffey	0.04	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.13	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04
Naz Hillmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	2	87%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	14	46%	0.19	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Veronica Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	9	52%	0.23	6	-0.19	9	67%	-0.02
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.22	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.07
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.12	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	9	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CON	WNBA	ATL	CON	WNBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.8	97.5	92.5	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		95.6	101.9
opponent	15.2	14.8		94.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	14.4	14.6	14.9	14.7
CON	14.9	14.9	14.7	16.7	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	75%	25%	0.0%	0.0%	46.5%	78.6%	0.0%
CON	0%	69%	29%	1.7%	0.0%	47.6%	41.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	7	71%	3	67%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	1	100%	3	83%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	3	67%	2	75%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	11	36%	2	50%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	4	37%	1	100%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	43	47%	14	79%	0	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	10	35%	4	25%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	6	50%	3	33%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	6	42%	4	75%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	3	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	6	50%	2	0%	1	0%
Sun	0	0%	41	48%	17	41%	1	0%