WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	94		Excitement	10.7 [4]		MVP	Myisha Hines-Allen (WAS): +54.4%
Washington Mystics	91		Comeback	46.9 [16]		LVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): -23.7%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DiJonai Carrington	0.47	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.39,0.33,0.47	0.11	0.42	0.05	16	59%	0.64	4	-0.17	5	80%	-0.09
Tyasha Harris	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.26	0.08	0.01	14	74%	0.32	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeWanna Bonner	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.05	0.03	22	52%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Veronica Burton	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	3	90%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rachel Banham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Tiffany Mitchell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Alyssa Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	39%	-0.01	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.07

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.54	0.54	0.22	0.33	0.00	8	111%	0.71	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.05
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.01	5	83%	0.24	4	-0.16	2	0%	-0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	-0.09	0.01	11	75%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
DiDi Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.11	-0.03	11	55%	0.12	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.17	6	83%	0.04
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.01	12	38%	0.01	4	-0.25	2	0%	-0.08

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	WAS	WNBA	CON	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.7	15.7	14.8	106.8	102.2	100.5
season	15.3	14.8		101.9	97.0
opponent	14.7	15.2		101.0	94.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	18.1	13.7	13.2	13.8	14.7
WAS	15.9	13.6	16.1	17.1	15.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	59%	38%	2.7%	0.0%	53.5%	44.6%	50.0%
WAS	0%	74%	22%	4.4%	0.0%	55.0%	86.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	6	67%	9	44%	1	100%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	10	70%	4	75%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	14	54%	7	50%	1	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	5	40%	3	33%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	2	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	43	53%	28	45%	2	50%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	4	125%	4	100%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	3	83%	2	125%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	10	80%	0	0%	1	0%
DiDi Richards	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	8	56%	2	75%	1	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	10	25%	3	100%	1	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	10	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	50	55%	15	87%	3	0%