WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	87		Excitement	8.9 [17]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +30.4%
Chicago Sky	88		Comeback	28.4 [9]		LVP	Marina Mabrey (CHI): -33.4%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.21	0.10	0.00	18	62%	0.33	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Aliyah Boston	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1	0.12	-0.03	-0.01	14	56%	0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Erica Wheeler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.07	0.03	11	68%	0.10	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Lexie Hull	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.01	10	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kristy Wallace	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.12,-0.24	0.04	-0.28	0.00	7	64%	-0.08	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Angel Reese	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.29	0.17	12	71%	0.39	3	-0.09	11	82%	-0.11
Chennedy Carter	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.10	0.01	12	72%	0.33	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Diamond DeShields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kamilla Cardoso	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.19	5	-0.19	5	40%	-0.04
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	0.01	5	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marina Mabrey	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.18	-0.02	14	19%	-0.27	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.18

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	WNBA	IND	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.8	103.6	104.8	100.5
season	14.7	15.2		102.8	95.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		102.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	13.7	15.6	15.9	14.4
CHI	13.2	15.5	15.1	12.5	14.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	1%	83%	9%	7.2%	0.0%	63.2%	41.7%	0.0%
CHI	3%	82%	11%	3.2%	100.0%	52.9%	42.9%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	16	59%	2	50%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	11	64%	2	75%	1	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	1	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	10	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	7	71%	1	0%	2	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	5	90%	0	0%	2	0%
Fever	1	0%	57	63%	6	42%	5	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Angel Reese	1	100%	8	62%	2	50%	1	100%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	10	65%	2	100%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kamilla Cardoso	1	100%	7	86%	1	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	1	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	13	19%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	2	100%	51	53%	7	43%	2	50%