WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	81		Excitement	6.1 [121]		MVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): +33.5%
Washington Mystics	83		Comeback	1.0 [123]		LVP	Jade Melbourne (WAS): -13.9%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Evans	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.07	-0.02	11	58%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Angel Reese	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	42%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kamilla Cardoso	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Chennedy Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.02	0.05	9	62%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.08
Isabelle Harrison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Diamond DeShields	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michaela Onyenwere	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.29
Lindsay Allen	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	8	56%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.26	0.12	0.05	13	83%	0.43	4	-0.10	9	100%	0.07
Aaliyah Edwards	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.01	7	84%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Karlie Samuelson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	10	55%	0.17	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Julie Vanloo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	38%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	WNBA	CHI	WAS	WNBA
this game	13.7	14.7	14.8	94.2	100.0	100.5
season	15.2	14.8		95.8	97.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		101.0	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	11.8	12.5	16.0	13.7
WAS	14.6	13.2	13.1	19.5	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	5%	86%	8%	1.5%	100.0%	46.5%	50.0%	0.0%
WAS	8%	84%	8%	0.0%	40.0%	51.9%	40.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dana Evans	0	0%	9	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Angel Reese	0	0%	10	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Kamilla Cardoso	1	100%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	1	100%	7	71%	1	0%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	1	100%	5	40%	1	100%	1	0%
Sky	3	100%	57	46%	5	50%	1	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	11	82%	2	50%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	7	86%	0	0%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	9	44%	1	100%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	1	100%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	1	0%	9	28%	1	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	3	33%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	5	40%	54	52%	5	40%	0	0%