WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	103		Excitement	8.2 [39]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +45.8%
Phoenix Mercury	99		Comeback	7.4 [85]		LVP	Megan Gustafson (LVA): -3.6%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.46	0.26	0.20	0.00	17	71%	0.54	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.10
Jackie Young	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.21	0.30	-0.04	0.05	23	65%	0.35	3	-0.15	6	83%	-0.00
Alysha Clark	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.13	-0.01	3	87%	0.26	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Tiffany Hayes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.03	5	50%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Sydney Colson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.03	3	133%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	16	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kiah Stokes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.18	-0.02	17	61%	0.42	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.04
Kahleah Copper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.08	-0.04	16	49%	0.22	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	6	83%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Diana Taurasi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.05	0.02	14	71%	0.20	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Sug Sutton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.08	5	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	PHO	WNBA	LVA	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.6	13.7	14.8	121.2	117.9	100.5
season	14.7	14.8		104.9	101.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		104.7	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.1	13.9	18.1	13.8	14.6
PHO	12.2	16.1	13.5	13.5	13.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	70%	30%	0.0%	0.0%	58.3%	54.8%	0.0%
PHO	3%	64%	32%	1.4%	50.0%	60.9%	60.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	12	62%	5	60%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	16	72%	7	43%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	2	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	3	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	3	133%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	10	30%	6	50%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	48	58%	21	55%	0	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	1	0%	7	57%	9	67%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	9	22%	7	64%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	9	78%	4	62%	1	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	5	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	7	43%	2	50%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	1	100%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	2	50%	46	61%	23	61%	1	0%