WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	84		Excitement	6.3 [109]		MVP	Aliyah Boston (IND): +56.2%
Indiana Fever	91		Comeback	1.8 [94]		LVP	Caitlin Clark (IND): -32.1%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46	0.29	0.19	0.02	15	72%	0.46	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Allisha Gray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.03	11	46%	0.15	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	64%	0.16	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Aerial Powers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Haley Jones	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.05	0.02	10	45%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Crystal Dangerfield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nia Coffey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aliyah Boston	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.56	0.56	0.20	0.32	-0.04	21	60%	0.58	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.24,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.07	0.02	14	69%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.07
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.01	4	110%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caitlin Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32	-0.32	-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	11	32%	-0.04	7	-0.28	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	WNBA	ATL	IND	WNBA
this game	14.0	15.6	14.8	103.7	112.3	100.5
season	15.3	14.7		95.6	102.8
opponent	14.5	14.8		106.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	13.5	15.8	13.5	14.0
IND	16.1	16.5	14.2	15.8	15.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	7%	82%	10%	0.0%	40.0%	47.3%	64.3%	0.0%
IND	8%	82%	8%	1.4%	33.3%	50.0%	66.7%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	1	0%	11	64%	3	100%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	10	40%	1	150%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	1	0%	11	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	3	67%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	4	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Dream	5	40%	55	47%	7	64%	0	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	17	47%	3	100%	1	100%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	0%	11	68%	2	50%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	4	112%	0	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	2	50%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	1	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	2	50%	8	31%	1	0%	0	0%
Fever	6	33%	59	50%	6	67%	1	100%