WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	80		Excitement	8.8 [22]		MVP	Kahleah Copper (PHO): +109.0%
Phoenix Mercury	81		Comeback	52.8 [3]		LVP	Bridget Carleton (MIN): -14.8%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.34	0.29	0.07	0.01	15	81%	0.38	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Alanna Smith	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	9	55%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	19	48%	0.17	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Natisha Hiedeman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olivia �poupa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alissa Pili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dorka Juh�sz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	0.07	5	33%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.09

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,1.09	1.09	0.27	0.82	0.01	23	67%	1.22	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.10
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Liz Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Griner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	65%	0.12	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.11	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Natasha Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sug Sutton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	19	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHO	WNBA	MIN	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.4	14.9	14.8	97.6	98.8	100.5
season	14.9	14.8		101.9	101.2
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.7	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	14.6	14.3	14.7	14.4
PHO	14.6	13.3	17.2	14.6	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	1%	71%	26%	1.4%	0.0%	48.0%	57.9%	0.0%
PHO	0%	71%	27%	1.4%	0.0%	48.0%	42.1%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	8	94%	6	75%	1	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	7	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	15	40%	4	50%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	4	75%	3	33%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia �poupa	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Alissa Pili	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	7	29%	1	100%	0	0%
Dorka Juh�sz	1	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	3	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Lynx	1	0%	51	48%	19	58%	1	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	16	62%	6	67%	1	150%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	6	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Liz Dixon	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	5	20%	1	150%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	1	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	12	29%	7	14%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	50	48%	19	42%	1	150%