WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	85		Excitement	8.6 [28]		MVP	Stefanie Dolson (WAS): +23.9%
Washington Mystics	83		Comeback	1.9 [118]		LVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): -26.7%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caitlin Clark	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.2	0.17	0.07	0.04	15	79%	0.52	8	-0.31	8	87%	0.01
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.01	5	60%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.25	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Kristy Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Erica Wheeler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aliyah Boston	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	9	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.08

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.04	0.01	10	95%	0.31	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Karlie Samuelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	9	48%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Aaliyah Edwards	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	42%	0.09	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.16
Julie Vanloo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.13	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
DiDi Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.22	-0.01	21	38%	-0.16	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	WNBA	IND	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.9	15.1	14.8	106.2	103.8	100.5
season	14.7	14.8		102.8	97.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		101.0	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	15.8	13.9	17.3	14.9
WAS	14.1	14.2	16.1	16.0	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	79%	21%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%	88.5%	0.0%
WAS	0%	71%	25%	4.2%	0.0%	57.8%	44.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	10	55%	5	120%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	4	37%	1	150%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	9	39%	4	100%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	6	75%	1	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	9	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	7	43%	2	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	49	50%	13	88%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	8	100%	2	75%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	8	69%	2	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	4	25%	5	60%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	5	60%	2	75%	0	0%
DiDi Richards	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	100%	3	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	14	43%	4	50%	3	0%
Mystics	0	0%	51	58%	18	44%	3	0%