WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	70		Excitement	7.9 [50]		MVP	Chennedy Carter (CHI): +21.2%
Indiana Fever	71		Comeback	2.3 [84]		LVP	Elizabeth Williams (CHI): -21.6%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chennedy Carter	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.10	0.02	12	70%	0.32	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Kamilla Cardoso	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	69%	0.18	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Dana Evans	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Isabelle Harrison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Michaela Onyenwere	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Angel Reese	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Marina Mabrey	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	16	44%	-0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.21
Elizabeth Williams	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	7	14%	-0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	12	65%	0.23	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	16	49%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.09	0.12	-0.04	14	32%	0.13	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Grace Berger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.07
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.11	0.02	11	48%	0.01	5	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	WNBA	CHI	IND	WNBA
this game	15.0	15.4	14.8	89.7	88.8	100.5
season	15.2	14.7		95.8	102.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		106.8	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.4	14.0	15.3	13.3	15.0
IND	14.1	15.2	14.7	17.3	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	77%	23%	0.0%	0.0%	40.6%	46.9%	0.0%
IND	0%	77%	22%	1.4%	0.0%	40.6%	50.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	8	50%	4	100%	0	0%
Kamilla Cardoso	0	0%	4	75%	3	67%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	7	71%	4	0%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel Reese	0	0%	9	22%	0	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	13	42%	3	50%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	6	17%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	53	41%	16	47%	0	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	11	64%	1	100%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	10	35%	6	50%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	4	25%	1	150%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	8	25%	5	20%	1	100%
Grace Berger	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	11	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	53	41%	15	50%	1	100%