WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	72		Excitement	7.4 [65]		MVP	Maddy Siegrist (DAL): +39.3%
Connecticut Sun	74		Comeback	4.1 [104]		LVP	Tyasha Harris (CON): -16.4%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maddy Siegrist	0.39	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.23	0.18	0.01	8	106%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Teaira McCowan	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Stephanie Soares	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	3	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sevgi Uzun	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.18,0	-0.07	0.05	-0.02	8	44%	0.14	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Lou Lopez S�n�chal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arike Ogunbowale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,-0.02	0.08	-0.09	0.01	21	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Kalani Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.03	0.09	-0.12	0.00	6	83%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacy Sheldon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.36	0.36	0.01	0.34	-0.01	11	50%	0.42	3	-0.06	8	37%	-0.27
Brionna Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.22	0.14	0.01	14	73%	0.35	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	13	41%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.09
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	9	35%	-0.08	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CON	WNBA	DAL	CON	WNBA
this game	16.8	17.2	14.8	101.4	105.7	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		101.3	101.9
opponent	15.2	14.5		94.3	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	16.0	18.6	17.2	16.8
CON	14.7	17.4	18.9	18.1	17.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	0%	77%	15%	8.1%	0.0%	56.2%	72.2%	30.0%
CON	0%	85%	12%	3.3%	0.0%	47.1%	57.1%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maddy Siegrist	0	0%	6	108%	2	100%	0	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Soares	0	0%	2	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Sevgi Uzun	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	2	75%
Lou Lopez S�n�chal	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	17	50%	2	50%	2	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	4	100%	1	100%	1	0%
Jacy Sheldon	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	48	56%	9	72%	5	30%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	7	43%	3	67%	1	100%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	12	67%	1	100%	1	100%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	12	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	7	43%	2	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	51	47%	7	57%	2	100%