WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	78		Excitement	7.8 [52]		MVP	Jonquel Jones (NYL): +50.9%
New York Liberty	81		Comeback	4.5 [125]		LVP	Sabrina Ionescu (NYL): -11.1%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.18	0.01	10	61%	0.29	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Natasha Cloud	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.05	17	60%	0.22	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Mikiah Herbert Harrigan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sug Sutton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.07	0.00	4	0%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liz Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Mack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.00	6	64%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Morgan Bertsch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.14,0.04,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	19	44%	0.08	4	-0.18	7	86%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.23	0.31	0.02	11	74%	0.51	0	0.00	5	80%	0.07
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	11	62%	0.24	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Nyara Sabally	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	27%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.03	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Leonie Fiebich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	0.09	-0.15	0.04	17	58%	0.08	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	NYL	WNBA	PHO	NYL	WNBA
this game	16.2	13.9	14.8	97.5	102.5	100.5
season	14.8	14.6		101.2	105.1
opponent	15.2	14.9		95.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	17.9	14.5	16.7	16.0	16.2
NYL	12.9	14.8	14.0	14.0	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	1%	74%	24%	1.5%	100.0%	52.0%	43.7%	0.0%
NYL	0%	76%	24%	0.0%	0.0%	51.0%	37.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	8	31%	2	150%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	1	100%	14	61%	2	50%	0	0%
Mikiah Herbert Harrigan	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Liz Dixon	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	4	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Morgan Bertsch	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	11	36%	7	43%	1	0%
Mercury	1	100%	50	52%	16	44%	1	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	7	71%	4	75%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	0	0%	8	56%	3	67%	0	0%
Nyara Sabally	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	8	19%	2	50%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	7	57%	3	0%	0	0%
Leonie Fiebich	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	14	64%	3	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	52	51%	16	37%	0	0%