WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	83		Excitement	8.3 [35]		MVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): +40.4%
Seattle Storm	85		Comeback	2.2 [131]		LVP	Skylar Diggins-Smith (SEA): -22.0%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
NaLyssa Smith	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	71%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	51%	0.35	3	-0.27	9	78%	0.04
Kelsey Mitchell	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.00	0.08	0.01	17	42%	0.18	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Erica Wheeler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Temi Fagbenle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Kristy Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aliyah Boston	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	7	29%	-0.12	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.4	0.40	0.28	0.14	0.02	24	58%	0.40	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.02	12	50%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	15	69%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	12	42%	0.24	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Horston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nika M�hl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.07	-0.04	10	10%	-0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	WNBA	IND	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.3	15.8	14.8	102.5	109.0	100.5
season	14.7	14.3		102.8	100.0
opponent	14.8	14.5		95.4	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.6	15.8	14.0	11.1	14.3
SEA	12.9	15.0	18.4	17.0	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	74%	25%	1.4%	0.0%	42.5%	63.9%	0.0%
SEA	1%	70%	29%	0.0%	0.0%	43.9%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	10	70%	3	33%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	11	32%	5	70%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	13	15%	4	100%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	2	75%	3	33%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	4	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	1	0%
Fever	0	0%	53	42%	18	64%	1	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	19	58%	5	40%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	6	33%	6	50%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	14	68%	1	100%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	1	0%	5	0%	6	83%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	3	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nika M�hl	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	7	14%	3	0%	0	0%
Storm	1	0%	57	44%	24	50%	0	0%