WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	68		Excitement	8.8 [23]		MVP	Aaliyah Edwards (WAS): +14.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	70		Comeback	4.0 [68]		LVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): -26.9%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaliyah Edwards	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	7	59%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.12
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DiDi Richards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.12	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Karlie Samuelson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.00	10	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,-0.08	0.05	-0.16	-0.03	8	75%	0.22	4	-0.30	0	0%	0.00
Shakira Austin	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.01	14	37%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Ariel Atkins	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.27	-0.19	-0.10	-0.02	13	32%	-0.08	7	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.01	13	53%	0.26	4	-0.18	6	50%	-0.05
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.17	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.09
Lexie Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	14	61%	0.27	7	-0.25	5	100%	0.06
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Brink	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Li Yueru	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rickea Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	5	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAS	WNBA	WAS	LAS	WNBA
this game	15.0	15.3	14.8	86.1	88.6	100.5
season	14.8	14.8		97.0	96.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		104.5	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.9	13.8	14.6	15.7	15.0
LAS	13.9	19.5	14.0	14.3	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	69%	28%	3.1%	0.0%	58.0%	30.6%	0.0%
LAS	0%	76%	22%	1.8%	0.0%	51.2%	70.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	3	100%	4	50%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
DiDi Richards	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	2	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	7	64%	3	0%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	8	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	9	44%	3	33%	2	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	8	31%	5	20%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	44	58%	18	31%	2	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	10	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	3	0%	6	92%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	12	62%	2	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	5	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Cameron Brink	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Li Yueru	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rickea Jackson	0	0%	6	58%	1	100%	1	0%
Sparks	0	0%	42	51%	12	71%	1	0%