WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	88		Excitement	8.8 [21]		MVP	Tyasha Harris (CON): +70.3%
Indiana Fever	84		Comeback	4.3 [78]		LVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): -14.2%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyasha Harris	0.70	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08,0.08,0.45,0.45,0.7	0.13	0.53	-0.04	12	59%	0.76	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.06
DeWanna Bonner	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.03	19	48%	0.24	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.03
Alyssa Thomas	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2	0.15	0.06	0.01	14	60%	0.23	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
DiJonai Carrington	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	45%	0.13	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.03
Astou Ndour-Fall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Temi Fagbenle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	6	85%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Caitlin Clark	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.17	-0.01	11	65%	0.42	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.04
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.02	7	57%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.03	7	62%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.08	-0.01	16	52%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	0.17	6	-0.30	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	9	33%	-0.01	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	IND	WNBA	CON	IND	WNBA
this game	16.5	14.0	14.8	112.8	106.3	100.5
season	15.3	14.7		101.9	102.8
opponent	14.5	15.2		106.8	94.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	14.9	15.8	17.6	17.8	16.5
IND	13.8	15.7	15.8	11.1	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	74%	24%	1.4%	0.0%	43.6%	38.9%	100.0%
IND	1%	74%	20%	4.3%	0.0%	48.0%	67.9%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	5	30%	7	71%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	15	43%	3	0%	1	100%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	12	58%	2	50%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	9	44%	4	25%	0	0%
Astou Ndour-Fall	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	7	57%	1	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	55	44%	18	39%	1	100%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	5	80%	1	100%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	7	43%	3	83%	1	100%
Kristy Wallace	1	0%	4	50%	2	100%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	6	58%	1	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	13	54%	3	33%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	7	29%	2	100%	2	50%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	7	29%	2	50%	0	0%
Fever	1	0%	51	48%	14	68%	3	67%