WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	85		Excitement	7.2 [71]		MVP	Kahleah Copper (PHO): +66.2%
Phoenix Mercury	88		Comeback	15.0 [15]		LVP	Tina Charles (ATL): -15.7%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.22	0.19	-0.01	12	73%	0.44	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.28	0.04	0.23	-0.01	13	53%	0.35	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.05
Crystal Dangerfield	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	6	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Aerial Powers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Laeticia Amihere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.04	0.14	-0.17	0.01	15	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Haley Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.13	-0.02	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.66	0.66	0.31	0.32	-0.03	20	68%	0.73	2	-0.07	16	81%	0.07
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.24	-0.00	5	83%	0.37	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	15	42%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	6	44%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Morgan Bertsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Mack	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	78%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Liz Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikiah Herbert Harrigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sug Sutton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	45%	0.02	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Rebecca Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHO	WNBA	ATL	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.9	14.1	14.8	104.9	104.8	100.5
season	15.3	14.8		95.6	101.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		104.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	14.9	15.7	15.2	14.9
PHO	11.3	14.4	16.7	14.8	14.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	82%	15%	3.0%	0.0%	44.4%	80.0%	0.0%
PHO	0%	83%	12%	4.5%	0.0%	44.5%	25.0%	116.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	8	62%	4	112%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0	0%	9	22%	4	87%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Laeticia Amihere	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	12	79%	1	0%	2	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	54	44%	10	80%	2	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	14	68%	4	25%	2	100%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	1	150%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	14	32%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Morgan Bertsch	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Liz Dixon	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Mikiah Herbert Harrigan	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	55	45%	8	25%	3	117%