WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	85		Excitement	8.7 [15]		MVP	Rachel Banham (MIN): +20.8%
Minnesota Lynx	91		Comeback	54.9 [6]		LVP	Tiffany Mitchell (MIN): -12.2%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aari McDonald	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.10	0.06	10	64%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Naz Hillmon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	6	76%	0.21	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Iliana Rupert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0	0.04	-0.08	-0.03	16	56%	0.18	3	-0.18	4	50%	-0.02
Laeticia Amihere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.07	0.02	11	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rhyne Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.07	-0.12	27	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Asia (AD) Durr	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Danielle Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.06	-0.03	7	86%	0.29	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.13	0.03	17	53%	0.26	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	4	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Napheesa Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.11	0.01	26	49%	0.30	6	-0.19	3	100%	0.01
Dorka Juh�sz	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	WNBA	ATL	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.8	92.4	98.9	101.2
season	14.4	14.6		98.6	98.2
opponent	15.2	14.4		105.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.1	13.7	14.5	18.3	14.7
MIN	14.4	13.6	15.6	16.1	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	9%	66%	24%	1.1%	31.2%	40.5%	40.5%	0.0%
MIN	1%	69%	28%	2.4%	100.0%	47.4%	47.8%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aari McDonald	1	150%	6	17%	3	117%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	1	0%	3	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Iliana Rupert	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	1	100%	9	56%	6	50%	0	0%
Laeticia Amihere	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	7	64%	4	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	4	0%	17	26%	5	20%	1	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	1	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	8	31%	58	41%	21	40%	1	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	3	100%	4	75%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	11	59%	5	20%	1	100%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	1	100%	17	35%	8	62%	0	0%
Dorka Juh�sz	0	0%	10	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	1	0%
Lynx	1	100%	57	47%	23	48%	2	50%