WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	86		Excitement	9.3 [9]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +54.0%
Indiana Fever	90		Comeback	3.5 [71]		LVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): -15.7%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ezi Magbegor	0.38	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.18	0.21	0.01	11	73%	0.41	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Jewell Loyd	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.21	0.20	0.02	0.01	23	57%	0.36	2	-0.15	10	90%	0.04
Kia Nurse	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	44%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joyner Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Horston	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Sami Whitcomb	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	45%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	2	20%	0.04	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jade Melbourne	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	60%	0.04	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.54	0.54	0.25	0.27	-0.02	20	64%	0.63	3	-0.09	16	75%	0.01
Grace Berger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	9	78%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.02	10	55%	0.22	3	-0.10	9	67%	-0.07
Aliyah Boston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Emma Cannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	WNBA	SEA	IND	WNBA
this game	14.7	15.5	14.8	107.5	113.9	101.2
season	14.7	15.1		96.0	99.8
opponent	14.8	14.6		106.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.4	15.3	16.7	13.4	14.7
IND	15.7	15.5	15.7	15.2	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	87%	12%	1.5%	0.0%	50.0%	56.2%	0.0%
IND	0%	82%	14%	4.6%	0.0%	52.8%	38.9%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	11	77%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	16	53%	6	50%	1	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	3	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Joyner Holmes	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	10	35%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	10	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	58	50%	8	56%	1	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	16	62%	1	100%	3	33%
Grace Berger	0	0%	8	87%	1	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	8	44%	2	75%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	9	44%	1	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	53	53%	9	39%	3	33%