WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	68		Excitement	7.0 [61]		MVP	DeWanna Bonner (CON): +19.2%
Washington Mystics	64		Comeback	2.5 [100]		LVP	Brittney Sykes (WAS): -24.2%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.16,0.19	0.06	0.15	0.01	14	49%	0.27	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Alyssa Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	16	65%	0.26	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Tyasha Harris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0.01	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Natisha Hiedeman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DiJonai Carrington	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	7	12%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.00	12	66%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Shakira Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	10	54%	0.15	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.05
Queen Egbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	11	29%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Li Meng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	8	31%	-0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.17	-0.01	8	37%	-0.11	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	WAS	WNBA	CON	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.6	16.0	14.8	89.5	84.2	101.2
season	15.2	14.9		102.6	99.1
opponent	14.6	14.9		99.4	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	16.8	14.1	15.1	16.4	15.6
WAS	16.2	17.5	13.5	17.0	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	80%	20%	0.0%	0.0%	49.0%	33.3%	0.0%
WAS	2%	77%	15%	6.5%	0.0%	46.9%	22.2%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	13	31%	1	150%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	14	64%	2	50%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	3	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	8	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	4	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	3	0%	4	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	49	49%	12	33%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	10	70%	2	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	8	50%	1	0%	1	100%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	1	0%	8	19%	2	50%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Li Meng	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	5	50%	2	0%	1	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	2	0%
Mystics	1	0%	48	47%	9	22%	4	25%