WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	67		Excitement	7.0 [62]		MVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): +33.2%
Seattle Storm	68		Comeback	45.7 [5]		LVP	Rhyne Howard (ATL): -21.5%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	13	49%	0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Asia (AD) Durr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	23%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Iliana Rupert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aari McDonald	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	0.07	-0.08	0.05	5	83%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.19
Nia Coffey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rhyne Howard	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.22	-0.00	-0.22	-0.01	20	44%	0.07	4	-0.29	5	80%	-0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.33	0.33	-0.02	0.36	0.00	20	40%	0.42	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	0.03	7	50%	0.07	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	45%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Jordan Horston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	24%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	WNBA	ATL	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.8	79.8	81.0	101.2
season	14.4	14.7		98.6	96.0
opponent	14.6	14.4		101.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.7	16.0	14.3	14.8	14.5
SEA	17.0	11.8	15.7	11.9	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	14%	82%	3%	1.4%	35.0%	37.5%	0.0%	100.0%
SEA	10%	79%	3%	7.9%	75.0%	30.0%	75.0%	40.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	1	0%	10	40%	1	0%	1	100%
Asia (AD) Durr	1	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Iliana Rupert	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	1	100%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	1	100%	4	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	1	0%	7	21%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	4	37%	15	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	10	35%	60	37%	2	0%	1	100%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	2	50%	14	14%	1	150%	3	33%
Ezi Magbegor	1	100%	10	50%	0	0%	2	50%
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	2	75%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	1	100%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	6	17%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	6	75%	50	30%	2	75%	5	40%