WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	91		Excitement	7.7 [41]		MVP	Karlie Samuelson (LAS): +40.6%
Washington Mystics	83		Comeback	12.9 [13]		LVP	Dearica Hamby (LAS): -10.3%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karlie Samuelson	0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.41,0.41	0.16	0.24	-0.00	7	81%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Nneka Ogwumike	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.30	5	-0.21	8	87%	0.03
Zia Cooke	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Azur� Stevens	0.08	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.02	11	71%	0.22	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Layshia Clarendon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rae Burrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	1	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Jordin Canada	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.03	0.07	9	54%	0.10	3	-0.12	10	90%	0.02
Dearica Hamby	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	7	24%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.23	-0.05	0.08	13	79%	0.19	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Li Meng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Cyesha Goree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.06	-0.03	8	28%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Queen Egbo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	12	52%	0.13	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	11	55%	0.19	5	-0.16	9	56%	-0.12
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	WAS	WNBA	LAS	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.6	13.9	14.8	107.1	100.0	101.2
season	15.2	14.9		96.9	99.1
opponent	14.6	14.4		99.4	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.8	14.5	13.8	15.5	14.6
WAS	16.6	14.8	12.3	12.5	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	76%	22%	1.7%	0.0%	60.0%	30.8%	100.0%
WAS	3%	82%	13%	1.6%	75.0%	55.9%	31.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	6	67%	1	150%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	9	61%	1	0%	1	100%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	5	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	10	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	5	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	25%	3	50%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	3	33%	4	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	45	60%	13	31%	1	100%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tianna Hawkins	1	150%	9	100%	2	0%	1	0%
Li Meng	0	0%	5	30%	1	150%	0	0%
Cyesha Goree	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	1	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	6	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	11	55%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	10	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Mystics	2	75%	51	56%	8	31%	1	0%