WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	70		Excitement	6.1 [89]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +22.7%
Minnesota Lynx	73		Comeback	19.4 [12]		LVP	Karlie Samuelson (LAS): -20.6%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lexie Brown	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.07	0.03	9	72%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	2	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Rae Burrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	2	125%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	9	52%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Zia Cooke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Azurá Stevens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12	0.02	-0.14	0.00	19	44%	-0.06	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Karlie Samuelson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	4	37%	-0.06	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.10	-0.02	20	48%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Dorka Juhász	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.00	0.01	10	73%	0.17	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	13	46%	0.13	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	37%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	7	0%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	MIN	WNBA	LAS	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.8	85.4	89.0	101.2
season	15.2	14.6		96.9	98.2
opponent	15.2	14.4		105.3	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	15.4	17.4	11.9	12.4	14.1
MIN	14.9	14.2	14.7	15.5	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	13%	63%	23%	1.6%	56.2%	46.2%	42.9%	0.0%
MIN	16%	59%	25%	0.0%	40.9%	58.7%	29.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lexie Brown	1	0%	4	112%	4	50%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	1	150%	1	100%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	1	100%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	42%	3	33%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Azurá Stevens	1	100%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	4	25%	11	55%	3	0%	1	0%
Karlie Samuelson	1	150%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	8	56%	39	46%	14	43%	1	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	4	25%	10	45%	6	67%	0	0%
Dorka Juhász	3	83%	6	92%	1	0%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	4	112%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	2	50%	10	45%	1	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	4	25%	3	33%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	2	0%	2	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Lynx	11	41%	40	59%	17	29%	0	0%