WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	95		Excitement	7.8 [37]		MVP	Sabrina Ionescu (NYL): +68.2%
Indiana Fever	87		Comeback	1.7 [175]		LVP	Courtney Vandersloot (NYL): -11.7%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sabrina Ionescu	0.68	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.41,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.68,0.68	0.36	0.36	0.04	18	76%	0.71	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.11
Jonquel Jones	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.03	8	75%	0.23	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.11,0.08	0.01	0.09	0.01	9	48%	0.17	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Kayla Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nyara Sabally	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	3	70%	0.08	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jocelyn Willoughby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marine Johann�s	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.08	0.06	-0.14	0.01	15	47%	-0.04	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.15	0.39	-0.00	19	56%	0.56	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	12	55%	0.10	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Emma Cannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.23	0.01	0.16	9	86%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Grace Berger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	16	39%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	41%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victaria Saxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	9	17%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	IND	WNBA	NYL	IND	WNBA
this game	13.5	13.8	14.8	96.0	87.9	101.2
season	14.4	15.1		108.8	99.8
opponent	14.8	15.3		106.1	97.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	13.7	9.3	16.5	16.5	13.5
IND	14.7	12.9	14.3	12.1	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	30%	55%	14%	1.4%	22.7%	64.6%	55.0%	0.0%
IND	23%	59%	15%	3.7%	47.4%	39.6%	45.8%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sabrina Ionescu	3	0%	11	86%	4	75%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	3	33%	4	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	2	50%	5	40%	2	75%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	2	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Nyara Sabally	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jocelyn Willoughby	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marine Johann�s	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	2	0%	9	56%	3	0%	1	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	5	40%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	22	23%	41	65%	10	55%	1	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aliyah Boston	3	33%	12	50%	2	100%	2	75%
Kelsey Mitchell	2	50%	10	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	5	120%	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Grace Berger	3	0%	9	44%	4	37%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	2	50%	6	33%	3	33%	1	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Victaria Saxton	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	2	0%	6	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Fever	19	47%	48	40%	12	46%	3	50%