WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	89		Excitement	7.7 [39]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): +55.1%
Atlanta Dream	94		Comeback	2.2 [66]		LVP	Natasha Cloud (WAS): -13.0%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.55	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.55	0.35	0.22	0.02	19	74%	0.55	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Brittney Sykes	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Abby Meyers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Amanda Zahui B	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	22%	-0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Ariel Atkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.05	-0.15	0.00	7	59%	0.06	2	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Natasha Cloud	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	12	45%	0.04	5	-0.17	9	78%	0.01

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.44,0.38,0.51	0.51	0.26	0.23	-0.01	18	63%	0.51	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Asia (AD) Durr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.06	-0.04	7	71%	0.26	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	69%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.05	0.01	10	61%	0.13	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Laeticia Amihere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	36%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.07
Nia Coffey	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	56%	0.16	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	WNBA	WAS	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.4	15.4	14.8	109.9	117.5	101.2
season	14.9	14.4		99.1	98.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		101.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	13.2	15.9	12.5	14.4
ATL	14.4	14.8	15.7	16.7	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	89%	9%	1.5%	0.0%	54.3%	33.3%	0.0%
ATL	0%	86%	14%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%	70.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	18	69%	1	100%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	10	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Abby Meyers	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	3	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	6	58%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	10	40%	1	0%	1	0%
Mystics	0	0%	58	54%	6	33%	1	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	12	50%	6	75%	0	0%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	6	58%	1	150%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	9	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Laeticia Amihere	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	10	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	59	50%	10	70%	0	0%