WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	99		Excitement	12.2 [1]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +49.4%
Seattle Storm	97		Comeback	6.8 [25]		LVP	Joyner Holmes (SEA): -23.7%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0.49	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.49	0.19	0.30	0.00	21	61%	0.72	3	-0.22	9	89%	0.06
Diamond Miller	0.34	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34	0.07	0.24	-0.03	15	53%	0.42	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Kayla McBride	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.36,0.28	0.17	0.11	0.00	12	70%	0.32	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Dorka Juhász	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	5	79%	0.28	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.04
Lindsay Allen	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	4	56%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rachel Banham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikolina Milic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.24	0.23	-0.01	11	85%	0.51	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.04
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.15	-0.03	35	53%	0.70	6	-0.37	8	87%	0.05
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.11	0.01	7	57%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivana Dojki?	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	8	39%	-0.05	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Joyner Holmes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	6	0%	-0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	WNBA	MIN	SEA	WNBA
this game	13.5	15.8	14.8	106.5	106.6	101.2
season	14.6	14.7		98.2	96.0
opponent	14.6	15.2		101.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	11.9	13.2	13.8	14.3	13.5
SEA	14.1	14.7	15.4	19.2	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	64%	26%	9.2%	0.0%	56.1%	40.0%	57.1%
SEA	0%	58%	33%	8.3%	0.0%	54.1%	42.9%	28.6%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	12	62%	5	20%	4	75%
Diamond Miller	0	0%	10	40%	3	83%	2	50%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	7	93%	4	37%	1	0%
Dorka Juhász	0	0%	3	67%	2	100%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	4	37%	2	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	49	56%	20	40%	7	57%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	6	83%	4	112%	1	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	19	50%	13	50%	3	33%
Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu	0	0%	3	67%	3	33%	1	100%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	11	55%	3	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivana Dojki?	0	0%	4	75%	3	0%	1	0%
Joyner Holmes	0	0%	3	0%	2	0%	1	0%
Storm	0	0%	49	54%	28	43%	7	29%