WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	92		Excitement	9.9 [7]		MVP	DeWanna Bonner (CON): +48.1%
Connecticut Sun	88		Comeback	7.8 [14]		LVP	Tyasha Harris (CON): -19.1%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.47	0.23	0.25	0.00	14	77%	0.53	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Cheyenne Parker	0.32	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32	0.07	0.25	-0.01	14	61%	0.45	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.04
Asia (AD) Durr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.02	0.05	0.02	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Monique Billings	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.07	-0.00	9	50%	0.20	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Naz Hillmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	-0.14	-0.02	14	56%	0.17	4	-0.25	6	83%	0.02

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.48	0.48	0.16	0.32	-0.00	12	56%	0.48	0	0.00	12	83%	0.04
Brionna Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.24	0.05	-0.00	17	72%	0.34	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.05
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.01	19	56%	0.27	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	4	37%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.05
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CON	WNBA	ATL	CON	WNBA
this game	15.8	13.9	14.8	101.1	96.7	101.2
season	14.4	15.2		98.6	102.6
opponent	14.9	14.4		97.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.8	15.5	16.3	15.6	15.8
CON	11.3	13.7	16.1	14.7	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	63%	33%	4.3%	0.0%	52.3%	60.9%	33.3%
CON	3%	58%	38%	1.3%	0.0%	46.7%	43.1%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	9	67%	5	90%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	10	55%	2	100%	2	50%
Asia (AD) Durr	0	0%	5	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	6	17%	3	100%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	7	79%	6	25%	1	0%
Dream	0	0%	44	52%	23	61%	3	33%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	1	0%	7	50%	3	0%	1	150%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	13	81%	4	50%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	9	44%	10	60%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	0%	2	75%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	1	0%	3	67%	6	50%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	6	17%	1	0%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	3	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sun	2	0%	45	47%	29	43%	1	150%