WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	71		Excitement	8.8 [14]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +49.0%
Minnesota Lynx	69		Comeback	3.3 [51]		LVP	Lexie Hull (IND): -18.9%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.56,0.49	0.20	0.25	-0.03	16	67%	0.56	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
Victoria Vivians	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grace Berger	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	13	46%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aliyah Boston	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Queen Egbo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.1,-0.07,-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	8	45%	-0.02	2	-0.13	6	67%	-0.10
Kristy Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	8	31%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	21	55%	0.35	4	-0.14	9	67%	-0.04
Dorka Juhász	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikolina Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.11	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.16	0.00	9	52%	0.02	2	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	4	-0.18	3	67%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	WNBA	IND	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.3	14.9	14.8	89.9	86.2	101.2
season	15.1	14.6		99.8	98.2
opponent	15.2	14.8		105.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	16.2	15.1	13.8	15.3
MIN	14.3	14.6	15.7	14.8	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	70%	28%	2.9%	0.0%	41.7%	47.4%	100.0%
MIN	0%	70%	27%	3.2%	0.0%	38.6%	55.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	10	60%	5	70%	1	100%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	4	62%	2	75%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	10	50%	2	0%	1	100%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	7	29%	2	50%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	6	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	4	37%	4	25%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	48	42%	19	47%	2	100%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	15	50%	5	70%	1	0%
Dorka Juhász	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Nikolina Milic	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	7	43%	2	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	2	0%	4	62%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	6	42%	2	75%	1	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	44	39%	17	56%	2	0%