WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	89		Excitement	7.4 [49]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +36.7%
Minnesota Lynx	84		Comeback	1.7 [148]		LVP	DeWanna Bonner (CON): -3.9%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.2	0.05	0.13	-0.02	15	53%	0.24	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.19	-0.04	-0.00	13	66%	0.22	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Rebecca Allen	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DiJonai Carrington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.03	3	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tiffany Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	67%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyasha Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	16	39%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.24	0.14	0.01	18	70%	0.45	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.06
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.06	0.03	4	112%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	41%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.02
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	8	55%	0.14	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dorka Juhász	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	58%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.17

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	MIN	WNBA	CON	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.1	16.1	14.8	114.1	110.5	101.2
season	15.2	14.6		102.6	98.2
opponent	15.2	14.9		105.3	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	14.2	12.7	15.0	19.0	15.1
MIN	17.4	16.0	16.6	14.4	16.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	3%	82%	13%	2.8%	50.0%	57.8%	44.4%	50.0%
MIN	2%	88%	10%	0.0%	150.0%	45.3%	91.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	11	55%	3	33%	1	100%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	12	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	1	0%	3	133%	0	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	1	100%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	8	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	5	60%	2	50%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	13	38%	2	50%	1	0%
Sun	2	50%	58	58%	9	44%	2	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	16	56%	2	125%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	1	150%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	8	37%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	9	22%	2	50%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dorka Juhász	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	1	150%	53	45%	6	92%	0	0%