WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	78		Excitement	6.4 [79]		MVP	Tiffany Hayes (CON): +35.6%
Connecticut Sun	81		Comeback	1.3 [200]		LVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): -12.8%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aliyah Boston	0.31	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31	0.20	0.09	-0.02	12	71%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.04	0.01	10	76%	0.28	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Emma Cannon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Victoria Vivians	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Queen Egbo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grace Berger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristy Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	13	47%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	13	23%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36	0.36	0.25	0.12	0.02	11	79%	0.36	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Brionna Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	12	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	13	45%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Leigha Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	14	26%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CON	WNBA	IND	CON	WNBA
this game	14.6	16.0	14.8	100.0	102.5	101.2
season	15.1	15.2		99.8	102.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		97.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	14.7	16.6	13.2	14.6
CON	15.1	16.0	16.7	16.0	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	3%	86%	8%	2.7%	0.0%	50.8%	16.7%	0.0%
CON	4%	92%	4%	0.0%	50.0%	45.5%	33.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	11	68%	1	100%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	0%	9	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Queen Egbo	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Grace Berger	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristy Wallace	0	0%	5	40%	2	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	1	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	12	42%	0	0%	1	0%
Erica Wheeler	1	0%	9	33%	3	0%	0	0%
Fever	2	0%	63	51%	6	17%	2	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	11	77%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	11	64%	1	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	12	42%	1	100%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	1	150%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Leigha Brown	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	2	0%	12	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	3	50%	66	45%	3	33%	0	0%