WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	95		Excitement	4.6 [144]		MVP	Kia Nurse (SEA): +18.4%
Seattle Storm	91		Comeback	2.2 [124]		LVP	Jordan Horston (SEA): -8.6%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Crystal Dangerfield	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16	0.21	-0.03	0.03	9	85%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arike Ogunbowale	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	21	58%	0.22	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Veronica Burton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jasmine Dickey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.07	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Satou Sabally	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.13	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Maddy Siegrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashley Joens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	-0.02	17	44%	0.06	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.05	0.02	13	71%	0.22	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.02	0.04	25	52%	0.09	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Yvonne Turner	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Arella Guirantes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ivana Dojki?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.08	9	71%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kaila Charles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.10	0.05	4	73%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Horston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	WNBA	DAL	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.9	13.6	14.8	113.1	108.3	101.2
season	14.4	14.7		105.9	96.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		101.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.7	16.2	16.1	15.9	14.9
SEA	14.7	13.0	12.5	14.1	13.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	16%	81%	3%	0.0%	54.2%	55.8%	50.0%	0.0%
SEA	12%	85%	1%	1.4%	94.4%	42.6%	150.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Crystal Dangerfield	2	75%	6	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	3	0%	18	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	5	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Dickey	4	100%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	13	42%	1	100%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ashley Joens	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	2	50%	15	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	12	54%	60	56%	2	50%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kia Nurse	2	150%	10	45%	1	150%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	3	67%	22	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Arella Guirantes	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivana Dojki?	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	2	100%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaila Charles	1	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	1	150%	2	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	9	94%	61	43%	1	150%	1	0%