WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	100		Excitement	26.5 [2]		MVP	DeWanna Bonner (CON): +84.7%
Connecticut Sun	95		Comeback	19.2 [7]		LVP	Kaila Charles (CON): -18.4%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.84	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.08,0.2,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.84	0.20	0.68	0.03	22	65%	1.11	5	-0.27	7	86%	0.02
Brianna Turner	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	-0.02	0.14	-0.09	11	38%	0.21	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Kia Vaughn	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.12	-0.03	12	50%	0.30	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Diana Taurasi	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.11,0.11	0.21	-0.03	0.07	19	58%	0.31	1	-0.19	10	90%	0.04
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shey Peddy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.07,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	45%	0.06	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.05

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.87,0.85	0.85	0.12	0.74	0.02	22	56%	1.03	5	-0.19	13	92%	0.14
Bria Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Essence Carson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Beatrice Mompremier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.01	9	55%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.16,0.13,0,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	17	43%	0.17	7	-0.33	8	75%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.06	-0.20	0.05	17	46%	-0.12	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kaila Charles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	CON	WNBA	PHO	CON	WNBA
this game	13.4	15.3	14.7	106.4	101.1	101.0
season	13.9	15.0		103.1	98.6
opponent	14.8	15.0		96.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	12.1	13.1	16.8	11.5	13.4
CON	18.6	13.0	13.9	16.0	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	23%	40%	32%	4.9%	31.6%	59.1%	36.5%	112.5%
CON	24%	38%	30%	8.3%	52.5%	43.7%	32.0%	35.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	4	50%	11	55%	4	50%	3	117%
Brianna Turner	4	25%	1	0%	6	50%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	3	0%	3	67%	5	60%	1	100%
Diana Taurasi	3	33%	12	58%	4	37%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	3	33%	1	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	2	50%	2	100%	5	0%	0	0%
Mercury	19	32%	33	59%	26	37%	4	112%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	5	40%	6	58%	7	29%	4	62%
Bria Holmes	1	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	2	150%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Essence Carson	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Beatrice Mompremier	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	4	50%	2	100%	1	100%	2	0%
Alyssa Thomas	1	0%	6	33%	9	44%	1	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	3	117%	8	50%	6	0%	0	0%
Kaila Charles	2	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Sun	20	52%	32	44%	25	32%	7	36%