WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	90		Excitement	762.5 [1]		MVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): +96.1%
Los Angeles Sparks	89		Comeback	171.4 [1]		LVP	Kristine Anigwe (LAS): -9.1%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0.96	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.96	0.13	0.80	-0.03	19	51%	0.96	0	0.00	11	82%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.25	-0.03	0.26	-0.03	21	43%	0.33	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Alysha Clark	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.01	2	89%	0.24	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	3	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	3	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Ezi Magbegor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.05	-0.13	0.01	7	93%	0.18	5	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.41	0.41	0.12	0.27	-0.01	9	71%	0.51	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.14
Riquna Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.34	0.34	0.02	0.32	-0.00	10	45%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.39
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.15	-0.01	9	82%	0.37	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
Candace Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.26	-0.04	0.00	14	83%	0.36	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Te'a Cooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marie G�lich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Seimone Augustus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kristine Anigwe	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAS	WNBA	SEA	LAS	WNBA
this game	13.8	15.8	14.7	111.1	109.9	101.0
season	13.9	14.7		108.6	101.9
opponent	14.6	15.3		97.8	92.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.1	12.3	15.4	13.7	13.8
LAS	18.0	16.3	15.4	13.6	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	67%	24%	9.1%	0.0%	53.4%	53.1%	58.3%
LAS	0%	69%	29%	1.6%	0.0%	62.8%	55.6%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	14	39%	2	50%	3	50%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	12	25%	6	42%	3	67%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	1	100%	1	150%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	1	100%	2	75%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	6	108%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	44	53%	16	53%	6	58%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	7	64%	2	50%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	6	67%	4	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	6	92%	3	67%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	12	87%	1	100%	1	0%
Te'a Cooper	0	0%	1	0%	2	100%	0	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	2	0%	2	100%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	4	0%	4	50%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristine Anigwe	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	43	63%	18	56%	1	0%