WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	81		Excitement	8.8 [18]		MVP	Cheyenne Parker (CHI): +34.5%
Los Angeles Sparks	84		Comeback	12.7 [29]		LVP	Gabby Williams (CHI): -15.6%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cheyenne Parker	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.35,0.35	0.11	0.22	-0.02	9	70%	0.51	4	-0.17	9	89%	-0.01
Diamond DeShields	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	11	55%	0.28	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Allie Quigley	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.34,0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.03	17	56%	0.30	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Katie Lou Samuelson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Astou Ndour	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Chloe Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	1	67%	0.01	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Kahleah Copper	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gabby Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	10	30%	0.01	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.2,0.06,0.33	0.33	0.05	0.28	-0.01	20	60%	0.62	7	-0.29	3	100%	0.09
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	13	61%	0.25	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Maria Vadeeva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.05	0.04	6	92%	0.22	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.16	-0.00	10	38%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	30%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	70%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Alexis Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	1	25%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAS	WNBA	CHI	LAS	WNBA
this game	13.2	13.6	14.9	90.0	94.4	98.5
season	14.1	14.8		101.6	97.6
opponent	14.8	14.5		95.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.1	12.6	13.0	15.3	13.2
LAS	12.6	12.4	15.0	14.7	13.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	75%	20%	4.6%	0.0%	43.9%	65.4%	33.3%
LAS	0%	63%	36%	1.4%	0.0%	54.5%	46.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	6	33%	2	125%	1	100%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	8	37%	3	83%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	13	54%	2	125%	2	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Astou Ndour	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Chloe Jackson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	6	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	7	29%	3	33%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	49	44%	13	65%	3	33%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	12	67%	8	44%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	10	60%	3	67%	0	0%
Maria Vadeeva	0	0%	3	117%	3	67%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	5	20%	4	62%	1	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	3	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	5	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	4	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	1	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	44	55%	25	46%	1	0%