WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	87		Excitement	8.9 [17]		MVP	Stefanie Dolson (CHI): +37.0%
Las Vegas Aces	84		Comeback	3.4 [39]		LVP	Kelsey Plum (LVA): -29.6%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stefanie Dolson	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37	0.14	0.26	0.02	8	80%	0.45	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Courtney Vandersloot	0.25	0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25	0.11	0.16	0.02	8	80%	0.31	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Diamond DeShields	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.10	0.01	10	53%	0.23	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.07
Jantel Lavender	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	10	65%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	4	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Cheyenne Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Katie Lou Samuelson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Allie Quigley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	8	22%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.03	8	87%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.11	-0.02	7	56%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Liz Cambage	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.09	0.02	22	56%	0.27	5	-0.25	6	67%	-0.00
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.05	10	45%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	15	25%	-0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kelsey Plum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LVA	WNBA	CHI	LVA	WNBA
this game	15.0	13.3	14.9	104.8	97.7	98.5
season	14.1	13.3		101.6	99.9
opponent	15.5	14.5		96.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	16.3	13.8	17.5	15.0
LVA	14.8	13.0	12.3	13.3	13.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	2%	75%	22%	1.6%	0.0%	44.7%	53.6%	100.0%
LVA	0%	71%	24%	4.8%	0.0%	40.0%	45.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	5	50%	2	125%	1	100%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	7	71%	1	100%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	9	22%	1	100%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	10	65%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	2	50%	6	50%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	4	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	6	17%	2	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	0%	47	45%	14	54%	1	100%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	5	80%	2	150%	1	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	5	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	19	53%	2	100%	1	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	7	43%	5	20%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	5	60%	5	20%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	9	22%	4	25%	2	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	60	40%	20	45%	4	0%