WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	59		Excitement	8.5 [26]		MVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): +16.2%
Indiana Fever	61		Comeback	6.3 [47]		LVP	Tiffany Hayes (ATL): -23.8%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nia Coffey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	2	75%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.03	0.08	-0.05	0.00	15	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Marie G�lich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Maite Cazorla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jessica Breland	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Renee Montgomery	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	15	40%	-0.01	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	11	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tiffany Hayes	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.24	-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	13	31%	-0.11	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.12	-0.04	12	56%	0.34	4	-0.18	3	67%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Teaira McCowan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	5	53%	0.09	2	-0.07	9	44%	-0.13
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Candice Dupree	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	14	37%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Shenise Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	8	37%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Betnijah Laney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	9	20%	-0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	WNBA	ATL	IND	WNBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.9	71.1	74.4	98.5
season	15.4	15.3		89.0	97.6
opponent	15.1	14.7		101.4	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	15.3	12.9	14.1	14.0
IND	14.0	13.3	15.7	17.5	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	76%	17%	6.6%	0.0%	33.6%	38.5%	0.0%
IND	0%	85%	12%	3.1%	0.0%	36.4%	0.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	13	54%	0	0%	2	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Maite Cazorla	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	7	21%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	8	31%	6	58%	1	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	8	31%	3	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	10	30%	1	0%	2	0%
Dream	0	0%	58	34%	13	38%	5	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	10	55%	1	0%	1	100%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	12	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Shenise Johnson	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	1	0%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	7	14%	2	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	55	36%	8	0%	2	50%