WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	78		Excitement	7.9 [45]		MVP	Chiney Ogwumike (LAS): +26.4%
New York Liberty	83		Comeback	1.4 [107]		LVP	Tina Charles (NYL): -13.4%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.26	0.09	0.17	0.01	8	62%	0.31	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Chelsea Gray	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	14	63%	0.26	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Karlie Samuelson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kalani Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.12	-0.00	16	59%	0.10	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	10	45%	0.08	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Marina Mabrey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.11	0.01	3	78%	0.26	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.03
Marine Johannes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.04	0.01	6	131%	0.34	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Tanisha Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.01	5	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reshanda Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.12
Brittany Boyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	37%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	3	87%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tina Charles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	13	26%	-0.06	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	NYL	WNBA	LAS	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.0	14.5	14.9	95.1	103.8	98.5
season	14.8	14.5		97.6	94.6
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.1	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	15.2	15.7	16.3	13.0	15.0
NYL	11.1	15.9	15.3	16.4	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	2%	74%	23%	1.5%	0.0%	54.2%	46.7%	0.0%
NYL	0%	81%	17%	1.9%	0.0%	54.8%	55.6%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	5	40%	3	67%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	10	70%	3	50%	1	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	2	0%	3	50%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	1	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	12	71%	4	25%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	8	44%	2	50%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	0%	48	54%	15	47%	1	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Marine Johannes	0	0%	5	130%	1	150%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	4	25%	1	150%	0	0%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0	0%	3	117%	0	0%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	6	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	9	11%	3	0%	1	0%
Liberty	0	0%	42	55%	9	56%	1	0%