WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	76		Excitement	10.6 [4]		MVP	Tiffany Hayes (ATL): +56.8%
Atlanta Dream	71		Comeback	4.2 [60]		LVP	Monique Billings (ATL): -13.3%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Riquna Williams	0.55	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.55,0.55	0.19	0.35	-0.00	19	57%	0.55	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kalani Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	60%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	12	38%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nneka Ogwumike	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.15,-0.15,0	-0.04	0.05	0.01	21	39%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Marina Mabrey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sydney Wiese	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chiney Ogwumike	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	8	22%	-0.03	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	10	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.57	0.57	0.12	0.43	-0.02	16	56%	0.66	2	-0.09	11	91%	0.10
Maite Cazorla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	17	34%	0.07	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Marie G�lich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	11	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	5	14%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	6	56%	0.10	5	-0.23	4	75%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	ATL	WNBA	LAS	ATL	WNBA
this game	16.0	16.3	14.9	90.5	85.5	98.5
season	14.8	15.4		97.6	89.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		99.1	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.4	16.3	16.2	16.7	16.0
ATL	18.7	13.7	14.6	18.9	16.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	68%	29%	3.4%	0.0%	39.0%	32.0%	66.7%
ATL	3%	67%	26%	3.9%	0.0%	31.4%	40.0%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	9	61%	9	56%	1	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	8	62%	2	50%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	9	33%	2	0%	1	100%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	14	46%	6	17%	1	100%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	7	14%	1	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	7	29%	3	33%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	59	39%	25	32%	3	67%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	1	0%	10	40%	4	50%	1	100%
Maite Cazorla	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	6	17%	4	62%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	9	33%	6	25%	2	50%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	1	0%	6	33%	4	25%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Dream	2	0%	51	31%	20	40%	3	67%