WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	75		Excitement	7.8 [47]		MVP	Alex Bentley (ATL): +21.4%
Atlanta Dream	78		Comeback	2.2 [49]		LVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): -13.5%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bria Holmes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Courtney Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	41%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Natisha Hiedeman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.16	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristine Anigwe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	38%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jasmine Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Tuck	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	12	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Alyssa Thomas	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	7	61%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	13	62%	0.17	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	10	61%	0.24	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.05
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	4	50%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maite Cazorla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marie G�lich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jessica Breland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	ATL	WNBA	CON	ATL	WNBA
this game	13.7	15.9	14.9	92.6	96.3	98.5
season	14.3	15.4		100.8	89.0
opponent	14.7	15.3		99.1	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	14.6	11.4	15.3	13.9	13.7
ATL	16.0	16.6	15.5	15.3	15.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	69%	29%	1.5%	0.0%	52.1%	27.5%	0.0%
ATL	2%	81%	18%	0.0%	0.0%	49.0%	45.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	6	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	8	25%	5	50%	1	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	4	125%	1	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	2	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Kristine Anigwe	0	0%	2	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	9	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	9	22%	3	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	6	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	47	52%	20	27%	1	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	4	50%	3	50%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	10	65%	3	50%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	10	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	1	0%	9	56%	2	0%	0	0%
Maite Cazorla	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	1	0%	50	49%	11	45%	0	0%