WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	84		Excitement	8.9 [16]		MVP	Tina Charles (NYL): +53.4%
Seattle Storm	83		Comeback	11.1 [7]		LVP	Jordin Canada (SEA): -12.7%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.53	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.29,0.59,0.53	0.10	0.44	0.01	22	54%	0.63	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Kia Nurse	0.31	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.24	0.07	0.00	12	92%	0.38	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tanisha Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	12	38%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	3	89%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Reshanda Gray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Bias	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asia Durr	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Brittany Boyd	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.04	0.01	8	76%	0.24	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.16
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	8	72%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Courtney Paris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	16	44%	0.16	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Blake Dietrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13,0.13,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	11	48%	0.23	5	-0.29	1	100%	0.02
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.13	-0.01	10	45%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	SEA	WNBA	NYL	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.7	14.1	14.9	103.7	98.8	98.5
season	14.5	15.3		94.6	95.4
opponent	15.1	14.7		95.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	13.1	13.0	16.8	16.4	14.7
SEA	12.8	13.7	13.9	16.1	14.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	77%	19%	4.3%	0.0%	56.6%	46.2%	66.7%
SEA	0%	79%	16%	5.7%	0.0%	52.7%	27.3%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	15	47%	4	62%	3	67%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	10	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	6	42%	6	42%	0	0%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Bias	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Asia Durr	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	7	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	53	57%	13	46%	3	67%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	7	86%	1	100%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	8	69%	0	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	3	33%	3	33%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	13	46%	2	0%	1	100%
Blake Dietrick	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	9	44%	1	100%	1	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	50%	2	0%	2	50%
Storm	0	0%	55	53%	11	27%	4	50%