WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	97		Excitement	10.7 [3]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +58.6%
Las Vegas Aces	102		Comeback	2.8 [160]		LVP	Kelsey Plum (LVA): -18.4%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.32	0.20	0.13	0.01	15	70%	0.35	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Teaira McCowan	0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.14	0.14	-0.00	10	67%	0.29	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Candice Dupree	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.18,0.26	0.03	0.18	-0.04	21	43%	0.27	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Erica Wheeler	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.17	-0.00	20	46%	0.27	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	6	46%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Kennedy Burke	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Betnijah Laney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.59	0.59	0.33	0.27	0.02	20	72%	0.71	2	-0.13	14	79%	-0.02
Liz Cambage	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.06,0.18,0.45,0.51	0.51	0.04	0.45	-0.02	14	47%	0.52	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.21	-0.01	6	86%	0.36	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	-0.04	7	44%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	4	40%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	7	21%	-0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LVA	WNBA	IND	LVA	WNBA
this game	17.1	13.2	14.9	109.0	114.6	98.5
season	15.3	13.3		97.6	99.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		96.3	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	18.9	19.1	19.8	17.1
LVA	10.7	13.4	15.1	18.0	13.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	1%	62%	28%	9.0%	0.0%	50.9%	56.0%	43.7%
LVA	0%	55%	38%	7.8%	0.0%	48.8%	43.1%	83.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	9	56%	4	137%	2	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	8	62%	2	100%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	1	0%	10	30%	8	50%	2	50%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	13	46%	5	30%	2	75%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	1	100%	3	33%	2	50%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	8	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	5	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Fever	1	0%	55	51%	25	56%	8	44%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	13	69%	6	67%	1	100%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	6	17%	5	40%	3	100%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	2	100%	3	67%	1	100%
Jackie Young	0	0%	3	33%	4	25%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	8	56%	4	25%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	4	0%	2	75%	1	0%
Aces	0	0%	42	49%	29	43%	6	83%