WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	98		Excitement	8.6 [24]		MVP	Amanda Zahui B (NYL): +83.8%
Los Angeles Sparks	92		Comeback	4.5 [10]		LVP	Tina Charles (NYL): -15.6%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amanda Zahui B	0.84	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.84	0.50	0.37	0.03	16	103%	0.93	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kia Nurse	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32	0.21	0.17	0.05	12	65%	0.35	1	-0.03	16	94%	0.09
Asia Durr	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	10	55%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reshanda Gray	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tanisha Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Bias	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brittany Boyd	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Tina Charles	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	17	25%	-0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.09	0.02	20	60%	0.29	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Alexis Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	4	112%	0.32	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	13	71%	0.32	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Sydney Wiese	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kalani Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Riquna Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	12	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.14	0.02	16	56%	0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	LAS	WNBA	NYL	LAS	WNBA
this game	12.6	14.5	14.9	110.1	104.5	98.5
season	14.5	14.8		94.6	97.6
opponent	14.8	14.7		95.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	13.2	12.9	12.0	12.3	12.6
LAS	15.1	15.1	14.1	13.8	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	73%	24%	2.9%	0.0%	53.9%	50.0%	75.0%
LAS	4%	70%	25%	1.2%	66.7%	55.1%	40.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	14	96%	1	150%	1	150%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	7	50%	5	40%	0	0%
Asia Durr	0	0%	7	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Tiffany Bias	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	13	23%	3	33%	1	0%
Liberty	0	0%	51	54%	17	50%	2	75%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	1	100%	15	67%	4	25%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	0	0%	4	112%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	12	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	1	0%	7	43%	4	25%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	1	100%	9	78%	5	20%	1	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	3	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sparks	3	67%	59	55%	21	40%	1	0%