WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	89		Excitement	8.0 [40]		MVP	Lexie Brown (MIN): +47.1%
Minnesota Lynx	85		Comeback	3.3 [43]		LVP	Damiris Dantas (MIN): -10.8%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Riquna Williams	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33	0.20	0.14	0.01	16	64%	0.41	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Chelsea Gray	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.31	0.13	0.19	0.01	12	75%	0.40	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.12	-0.00	11	68%	0.30	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Chiney Ogwumike	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.04	-0.04	12	54%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ashley Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	7	36%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	6	38%	0.06	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Kalani Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lexie Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.22	0.26	0.01	9	87%	0.53	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.07
Danielle Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alaina Coates	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	-0.05	12	39%	0.08	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	6	50%	0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.16	0.02	12	60%	0.06	2	-0.15	6	83%	-0.05
Damiris Dantas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	24%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	MIN	WNBA	LAS	MIN	WNBA
this game	13.6	14.4	14.9	106.0	97.7	98.5
season	14.8	15.1		97.6	97.8
opponent	14.9	14.8		95.3	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.8	12.3	14.0	13.3	13.6
MIN	11.2	15.0	14.6	17.4	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	77%	22%	1.4%	0.0%	42.1%	71.9%	100.0%
MIN	1%	73%	24%	1.5%	100.0%	52.0%	37.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	10	55%	6	58%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	69%	3	67%	1	100%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	9	50%	2	125%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	11	45%	1	100%	0	0%
Ashley Walker	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	5	20%	2	75%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	5	30%	1	100%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	57	42%	16	72%	1	100%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	5	90%	4	100%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	1	100%	8	75%	4	25%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Alaina Coates	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	9	39%	3	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	9	72%	2	0%	1	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	8	12%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynx	1	100%	49	52%	16	37%	1	0%