WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	56		Excitement	5.0 [121]		MVP	Lexie Brown (MIN): +10.2%
Minnesota Lynx	58		Comeback	2.0 [116]		LVP	DeWanna Bonner (PHO): -18.2%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sophie Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Griner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brianna Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alanna Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Essence Carson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yvonne Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
DeWanna Bonner	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.09,-0.18	0.13	-0.24	0.07	18	61%	-0.09	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lexie Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alaina Coates	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	10	50%	0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	16	47%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	MIN	WNBA	PHO	MIN	WNBA
this game	16.8	17.9	14.9	81.2	84.1	98.5
season	15.3	15.1		97.2	97.8
opponent	14.9	15.3		95.3	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	16.3	18.4	15.6	17.4	16.8
MIN	16.9	20.2	16.0	19.0	17.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	5%	84%	7%	3.5%	66.7%	43.7%	25.0%	0.0%
MIN	8%	89%	3%	0.0%	20.0%	48.2%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	6	58%	1	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	1	0%	8	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	7	14%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	2	100%	12	58%	2	50%	2	0%
Mercury	3	67%	48	44%	4	25%	2	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lexie Brown	1	0%	8	69%	0	0%	0	0%
Alaina Coates	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	1	0%	9	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	2	50%	14	46%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	8	12%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	1	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynx	5	20%	55	48%	2	0%	0	0%