WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	92		Excitement	6.8 [70]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): +35.7%
Connecticut Sun	96		Comeback	101.0 [1]		LVP	Tierra Ruffin-Pratt (WAS): -26.9%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.36	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.36	0.32	0.08	0.05	18	74%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristi Toliver	0.22	0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.06	-0.00	10	71%	0.30	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Tayler Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	4	90%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Krystal Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	3	86%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Natasha Cloud	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivory Latta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emma Meesseman	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.12	-0.08	0.06	13	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.07	-0.21	-0.01	12	38%	-0.15	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.18	0.03	15	51%	0.28	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.03
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	-0.01	0.07	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Kayla Pedersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	4	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynetta Kizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.10
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	48%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CON	WNBA	WAS	CON	WNBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.1	116.5	120.0	100.8
season	15.6	13.8		103.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.8	13.6	19.0	17.3	15.8
CON	14.1	16.4	13.3	13.6	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	11%	70%	16%	2.9%	56.2%	65.3%	36.4%	0.0%
CON	17%	65%	16%	2.6%	57.7%	51.0%	50.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	2	50%	12	83%	3	67%	1	0%
Kristi Toliver	1	0%	7	79%	2	50%	0	0%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	4	87%	0	0%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	1	100%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	3	83%	7	79%	3	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	1	0%	9	44%	1	0%	1	0%
Mystics	8	56%	49	65%	11	36%	2	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	2	100%	7	29%	4	50%	2	50%
Jonquel Jones	4	50%	6	83%	2	0%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	5	40%	3	67%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	1	150%	9	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	2	0%	8	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	4	50%	11	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	13	58%	50	51%	12	50%	2	50%