WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	76		Excitement	8.6 [20]		MVP	Shekinna Stricklen (CON): +34.8%
Washington Mystics	78		Comeback	20.5 [13]		LVP	Rachel Banham (CON): -9.0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shekinna Stricklen	0.35	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.23	0.14	0.03	12	83%	0.38	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.14,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Lynetta Kizer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Hooper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	-0.02	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	15	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Alex Bentley	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.02	0.04	-0.10	-0.04	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.21
Brionna Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Krystal Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.01	8	61%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Tayler Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.01	12	56%	0.28	3	-0.12	8	87%	0.06
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.07	-0.03	6	44%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.01	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	3	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	35%	0.11	2	-0.12	7	100%	0.06
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Asia Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	WAS	WNBA	CON	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.1	101.3	102.6	100.8
season	13.8	15.6		104.7	103.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.1	15.5	16.2	15.8	15.7
WAS	19.3	15.2	14.6	15.8	16.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	66%	29%	5.2%	0.0%	51.0%	36.4%	25.0%
WAS	0%	80%	17%	3.1%	0.0%	41.3%	31.8%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	8	75%	4	100%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	9	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	2	50%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	9	33%	5	40%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	11	55%	4	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	7	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	2	50%	3	33%	1	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	51	51%	22	36%	4	25%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	7	57%	1	100%	0	0%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	9	33%	3	83%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	9	22%	4	0%	2	50%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	11	36%	2	0%	0	0%
Asia Taylor	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	52	41%	11	32%	2	50%