WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	76		Excitement	38.2 [1]		MVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): +102.5%
Connecticut Sun	77		Comeback	14.1 [15]		LVP	Alex Bentley (CON): -25.1%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sue Bird	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29	0.22	0.04	-0.03	15	73%	0.32	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jewell Loyd	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.21	-0.01	0.22	-0.00	8	50%	0.28	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Crystal Langhorne	0.16	0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.01	7	87%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.00	8	44%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jenna O'Hea	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05	-0.10	0.13	-0.01	14	33%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Alysha Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monica Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramu Tokashiki	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,1.02	1.02	0.05	0.97	-0.01	10	54%	1.10	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.06
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.62	0.62	0.25	0.37	-0.01	10	95%	0.68	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Bone	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kelly Faris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	22%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	11	36%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Camille Little	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	0.01	4	50%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	13	24%	-0.22	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CON	WNBA	SEA	CON	WNBA
this game	17.1	13.3	15.2	96.2	97.5	102.3
season	15.2	14.3		103.5	101.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		102.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.1	17.5	16.3	18.7	17.1
CON	13.9	13.4	11.0	15.5	13.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	74%	24%	2.9%	0.0%	52.0%	40.6%	75.0%
CON	0%	74%	22%	4.3%	0.0%	38.2%	46.7%	83.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sue Bird	0	0%	13	81%	2	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	6	42%	1	0%	1	150%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	7	86%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	2	0%	6	58%	0	0%
Jenna O'Hea	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	9	22%	4	50%	1	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	7	36%	2	50%	0	0%
Monica Wright	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	50	52%	16	41%	2	75%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	7	14%	2	100%	1	100%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	6	100%	3	67%	1	150%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelly Faris	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	6	33%	5	40%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	11	18%	2	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	51	38%	15	47%	3	83%