WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	90		Excitement	13.2 [1]		MVP	DeWanna Bonner (PHO): +44.4%
Phoenix Mercury	78		Comeback	2.8 [38]		LVP	Camille Little (CON): -32.8%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Bone	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.20	0.23	-0.02	19	67%	0.53	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Bentley	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.03	0.28	0.02	20	43%	0.33	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Chelsea Gray	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	6	71%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shekinna Stricklen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Pedersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Alyssa Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.02	11	54%	0.01	3	-0.13	6	50%	-0.11
Jasmine Thomas	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	13	23%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Camille Little	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	12	25%	-0.08	4	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44	0.44	-0.02	0.43	-0.04	18	47%	0.66	5	-0.21	9	78%	-0.10
Cayla Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.04	9	44%	0.14	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alex Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mistie Bass	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	18	45%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	56%	0.12	5	-0.21	4	75%	-0.01
Monique Currie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	13	37%	-0.12	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	PHO	WNBA	CON	PHO	WNBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.7	94.7	83.9	97.1
season	15.9	15.2		96.9	98.3
opponent	16.6	15.8		93.1	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	18.1	15.4	16.1	15.9	16.1
PHO	19.4	18.9	10.7	14.0	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	1%	52%	43%	3.3%	100.0%	44.8%	38.7%	66.7%
PHO	3%	58%	29%	11.0%	0.0%	39.3%	54.8%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	9	67%	9	78%	1	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	10	45%	8	12%	2	100%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	3	83%	3	50%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	4	62%	2	0%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	1	100%	3	67%	7	43%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	8	25%	5	20%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	8	25%	4	25%	0	0%
Sun	1	100%	48	45%	40	39%	3	67%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	1	0%	11	36%	2	50%	4	50%
Cayla Francis	1	0%	6	33%	2	100%	0	0%
Alex Harden	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Mistie Bass	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	1	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	10	50%	7	43%	1	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	4	37%	1	150%	1	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	7	43%	5	30%	1	0%
Mercury	2	0%	42	39%	21	55%	8	25%